In addition to current activities, PROVIA is considering the following Proposed Activities for the 2011-12 Work Programme:
PROVIA will always welcome suggestions on activities that should be undertaken. Please write to Saleemul Huq (Chair) of Scientific Steering Committee
- Developing methods for evaluating adaptation approaches. At present very large scale funding is being considered for implementation of adaptation (a target of c. $100 bn per annum together with mitigation) but relatively few adaptation methods and technologies have been properly evaluated, especially of adaptation
- Developing methods of constructing adaptation and other socio-economic scenarios. Delivery of these, agreed in principle four years ago at an IPCC meeting, has been delayed. These are essential for the next generation of impact and adaptation assessments. PROVIA aims to help lead in the development of new scenarios, and write/publish an accessible guide to the methods of scenario development for VIA assessment.
- Monitoring current vulnerability, impacts and adaptation, and avoiding potential surprises. Current vulnerability is being mapped in different and non-comparable ways. Tested and reliable means of vulnerability mapping are needed to identify the people and places most at risk. In addition, we need to monitor systematically the emergence of impacts and analyse in real-time the adaptations to them. This will enable a robust and empirically-based evaluation of adaptation methods. The monitoring system should include ‘horizon-scanning’ for non-linearities that could detect (and avoid) potential surprise impacts.